Table 1

Risk factors for ERLP in a military setting

FactorUnfavourable characteristicReferenceYearCountryCohortGender of participantsOutcome statistics
GenderFemale42004AustraliaNavy84 M; 40 FRR for MTSS 2.03
112013USAAll forces4100RR for CECS 1.11; 95% CI 1.05 to 1.14
122013NEDPremilitary1478 M; 115 FERLP 9.3% of M; 16.5% of F
132004AustraliaCadets122 M; 36 FOR for medial tibial pain 3.1
142012AustraliaCadets288 M; 96 FOR for MTSS 2.97; 95% CI 1.66 to 5.31
151993USAArmy BMT124 M; 186 FOR for lower extr. 2.1; 95% CI 1.5 to 3.1
Current statusTenderness to palpation medial tibial border142012AustraliaCadets288 M; 96 FOR for MTSS 4.63; 95% CI 2.5 to 8.5
Oedema (very unfavourable)142012AustraliaCadets288 M; 96 FOR for MTSS 76.1; 95% CI 9.6 to 602.7
Foot shapeIncreased navicular drop >0.5 cm162010NEDRecruits35 MUnivariate regr 12.7; 95% CI 1.3 to 121.5
Reduced navicular drop <0.422 cm172015IranRecruits181p=0.015
Pronated foot (foot posture index≥+6)42004AustraliaNavy84 M; 40 FRR for MTSS 1.70
High foot arch (bony arch index >0.23)18*1999USANavy449 MRR 1.71; 95% CI 0.74 to 3.95
>0.27191993USAInfantry246 MOR 6.12; 95% CI 2.17 to 17.30
Low foot arch (bony arch index <0.20)18*1999USANavy449 MRR 1.86; 95% CI 0.82 to 4.25
Hip functionLarge exorotation >64°, only in men132004AustraliaCadets122 M; 36 FRight hip p=0.026; Left hip p=0.042
>60°20*1991IsraelArmy289 Mp<0.001
Restricted exorotation <41°172015IranRecruits181p=0.000
Large endorotation >48°, only in men132004AustraliaCadets122 M; 36 FRight hip p=0.014; Left hip p=0.000
Restricted endorotation <40°162010NEDRecruits35 MUnivariate regr 1.1; 95% CI 1.0 to 1.2
<37°172015IranRecruits181p=0.004
Leg circumferenceLean calf girth <34 cm, only in men132004AustraliaCadets122 M; 36 FRight leg only, p=0.040
Narrow tibial bone width <25 mm20*1991IsraelArmy289 Mp<0.001
Ankle functionDorsal flexion ≥21°212010USAMarine Corps748 FOR for shin splints 3.4; 95% CI 1.4 to 8.4
Plantar flexion >52°162010NEDRecruits35 MUnivariate regr 0.8; 95% CI 0.7 to 1.0
Other biometricsIliospinal height >53 cm172015IranRecruits181p=0.017
Lateral trochanter-tibia height >44.69 cm172015IranRecruits181p=0.022
Target jobSoldier (lower rank)112013USAAll forces4100RR for CECS 8.54; 95% CI 7.04 to 10.36
222011GBInfantry660 MHR officers 0.26; 95% CI 0.14 to 0.49
Target forceArmy112013USAAll forces4100RR for CECS 2,72; 95% CI 2.45 to 3.04
Walking techniqueOverpronation (foot balance concept)232011GBInfantry468 MOR for MTSS 9.16; 95% CI 4.32 to 19.42
Foot pressure measurement barefoot, cavus18*1999USANavy449 MRR for stress # 1.7; 95% CI 0.59 to 4.89
Foot pressure measurement barefoot, planus18*1999USANavy449 MRR for stress # 2.18; 95% CI 0.80 to 3.98
Foot pressure measurement barefoot242014GBNavy officers200 MOR for OLLI 5.28; 95% CI 2.88 to 9.70
Foot pressure measurement shod, cavus18*1999USANavy449 MRR for stress # 1.82; 95% CI 0.63 to 5.24
Foot pressure measurement shod, planus18*1999USANavy449 MRR for stress # 2.45; 95% CI 0.89 to 6.70
Heavy heel strike232011GBInfantry468 MOR for MTSS 9.16; 95% CI 4.32 to 19.42
Running techniqueOverpronation251993No statistics
BloodLow vitamin D intake (<118 IU, <70.0 nmol/L)26*2012IsraelCombat recruits74 MStress # group 59% of DRI (p<0.05)
Low vitamin D in blood <75.8 nmol/L27*2006FinlandRecruits756 MOR for stress # 3.6; 95% CI 1.2 to 11.1
HistoryPrevious lower limb injury232011GBInfantry660 MHR for all injuries 1.49; 95% CI 1.19 to 1.87
Menstrual dysfunction >1 year28*2006USAMarine Corps2962 FOR for all stress # 5.64; 95% CI 2.2 to 14.4
Lower extremity stress fracture29*2006USAMarine Corps824 FOR for stress # 2.1; 95% CI 0.8 to 5.5
Fitness>650 s on a 2.4 km run232011GBInfantry468 MOR for MTSS 3.62; 95% CI 1.77 to 7.38
Average or lower premilitary activity level30*1988USAMarine recruits3025RR 2.4; 95% CI 1.26 to 4.58
Low self-rated fitness292006USAMarine Corps824 FOR for OLLI 1.6; 95% CI 1.1 to 2.5
SmokingSmoker232011GBInfantry468 MOR for MTSS 6.54; 95% CI 3.09 to 13.82
  • *Risk factor specifically for stress fracture.

  • BMT, basic military training; CECS, chronic exertional compartment syndrome; ERLP, exercise related leg pain; extr, extremity injury; GB, Great Britain; MTSS, medial tibial stress syndrome; NED, Netherlands; OLLI, overuse lower limb injury; OR, odds ratio; regr, regression; RR, relative risk.